# Gnosis AI: Improving agent's prediction market betting

- Channel: [ZuBerlin](https://streameth.org/zuberlin)
- Date: 2024-06-19
- Duration: 32:30
- Topics: AI, blockchain, prediction markets, hackathon, machine learning
- Watch: https://streameth.org/watch/6672c8fe07f92b086c3d5161
- Download: https://vod-cdn.lp-playback.studio/raw/jxf4iblf6wlsyor6526t4tcmtmqa/catalyst-vod-com/hls/db7c2ugmk3gzr3an/1080p0.mp4

## Description

Clip The video features a presentation on behalf of Gnosis Labs by one of its AI team members. The presenter announces the discovery of lost wallets and then proceeds to discuss the team's work on integrating AI with prediction markets, specifically the IOMEN platform. They delve into how prediction markets function, the role of AI agents in making market predictions, and the monetary incentives involved. The speaker introduces a hackathon challenge aimed at improving AI agent predictions within these markets.

The team has developed a demo agent called Prediction Profet, which analyzes complex questions to make predictions. However, they acknowledge its limitations and invite participants to innovate better methods for information aggregation and result prediction. Another advanced agent, Tinker-Roughy, is mentioned as an example that generates related prediction markets for more comprehensive analysis.

Participants are encouraged to join a Telegram group for support and use GitHub resources provided by Gnosis Labs to develop their solutions. The hackathon involves modifying a predict function within a Python script to improve accuracy beyond the current 75% achieved by their demo agent. The presentation concludes with details on how submissions will be tested and evaluated, including benchmarks against human predictions on another platform called Manifold.

The hackathon offers prizes for winning solutions and aims to push forward the capabilities of AI agents in prediction markets over a